Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.004229 0.004448 0.004674 0.004923 0.005191 0.005470 0.005784
2024-12-29 0.003775 0.004095 0.004438 0.004833 0.005279 0.005767 0.006345
2025-01-05 0.003489 0.003862 0.004272 0.004760 0.005327 0.005970 0.006760
2025-01-12 0.003320 0.003735 0.004202 0.004771 0.005451 0.006245 0.007253
2025-01-19 0.003080 0.003507 0.003997 0.004604 0.005345 0.006230 0.007382
2025-01-26 0.002975 0.003428 0.003956 0.004624 0.005456 0.006474 0.007834
2025-02-02 0.002938 0.003426 0.004005 0.004749 0.005698 0.006885 0.008518
2025-02-09 0.002816 0.003314 0.003911 0.004691 0.005701 0.006990 0.008801
2025-02-16 0.002729 0.003239 0.003859 0.004680 0.005761 0.007166 0.009185
2025-02-23 0.002640 0.003158 0.003795 0.004649 0.005790 0.007298 0.009511
2025-03-02 0.002595 0.003130 0.003794 0.004699 0.005926 0.007580 0.010061
2025-03-09 0.002521 0.003061 0.003739 0.004672 0.005956 0.007713 0.010402
2025-03-16 0.002442 0.002985 0.003673 0.004631 0.005967 0.007825 0.010724
2025-03-23 0.002350 0.002889 0.003579 0.004548 0.005915 0.007844 0.010907
2025-03-30 0.002270 0.002807 0.003499 0.004480 0.005881 0.007885 0.011124
2025-04-06 0.002225 0.002769 0.003476 0.004490 0.005958 0.008090 0.011610
2025-04-13 0.002122 0.002650 0.003340 0.004336 0.005789 0.007920 0.011478
2025-04-20 0.002087 0.002622 0.003327 0.004355 0.005873 0.008135 0.011990
2025-04-27 0.002088 0.002642 0.003380 0.004470 0.006105 0.008589 0.012929
2025-05-04 0.002032 0.002582 0.003319 0.004417 0.006079 0.008635 0.013174
2025-05-11 0.001992 0.002544 0.003288 0.004407 0.006119 0.008787 0.013610
2025-05-18 0.001948 0.002498 0.003246 0.004378 0.006127 0.008887 0.013960
2025-05-25 0.001931 0.002489 0.003255 0.004424 0.006254 0.009187 0.014696